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| Thursday 16 October, 2008 |
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Interview with Dr. C.K.Rajan,Scientist, Climate Change
INTERVIEW
Climate change is already increasing the frequency and intensity of severe weather events. Changing rainfall patterns could devastate rain-fed agriculture on which so many people in developing countries depend for their survival.
Dr. C.K.Rajan who has done Ph.D. in Meteorology from the Cochin University of Science and Technology (CUSAT), Kerala, India has been involved with climate change since 1988. Worked under various capacities such as Junior Lecturer in College of Engineeing , Trivandrum, Asst. Meteorologist in India Meteorological Department, Professor in Meteorology in CUSAT . Presently he is holding charge as Hon. Director , Centre for Monsoon Studies(CMS), Cochin University of Science and Technology (CUSAT) and also working as President of an NGO namely "Scientific Awareness Forum" (SAFE), to promote scientific awareness among the younger generation. Under this Forum 2 major events namely “Vignyan Utsav -2001” , and Vignyan Utsav -2005”, consisting of 5 days each have been conducted at Ernakulam. The first one was to highlight the contributions of our great persons like C.V.Raman, J.C.Bose, Vikram Sarabai and Aryabhatta to the younger generation. The second one was to highlight the seriousness of “Natural and Man made Disasters and the need for its Judicious Management” to the society, especially to the younger generation.
In an interview to Sreeni K.R ,Dr. C.K.Rajan talks about the climate change initiatives and seeks his perspectives on the goals of the Forum, and its progress to date.
The argument is that there is a new cause for climate change, which is - human beings. In which way do you think climate has varied naturally, regardless of human intervention? Had the climate change happened as a natural phenomenon, it would have been gradual. But the present scenario is entirely different. The drastic changes noticed during the last few years cannot be attributed to natural changes in climate. I became convinced by the evidence that was linking human activities to changes in the climate system including the occurrences and severity of events such as floods and droughts.
Some people hold the view that the threat of climate change is so great that we need to fundamentally change the way we produce and use energy. Whats your response to this view? I fully agree to their view point. The global climate change we witness is due to rising lower tropospheric temperature. The main reason for this is uncontrolled emission of green house gases by burning fossil fuels.
Scientists agree that the earths temperature has risen . What adverse effect does it bring to our atmosphere? Primary impact of global warming is global sea level rise. Volumetric expansion of sea water due to radiative heating and by discharge of large volume of fresh water from melting of ice and snow in the western Antarctic sheet, Arctic sea ice, Greenland ice cover and continental ice sheets and glaciers. Other implications are those regarding the human settlements in the coastal towns and cities, heightened coastal erosion, loss of property, devastation of coastal and terrestrial ecosystem, change in rainfall pattern in terms of intensity , special distribution and shift in seasonal pattern,untimely flooding and drought in regions unheard of, effect on human health due to rise in incidence of vector borne diseases , heat stress , decrease in drinking water, etc.
Industrial progress has produced a lot of comforts for mankind? Name some chemical constituents which adversely affect the weather? Rightly said.Industrial progress has produced lot of comforts to mankind. Aerosols including black carbons, burning of fossil fuels, emission of CFCs, HCFCs, HFCs, PFCs etc are some of the major causes for weather changes.
What is the major difference between weather and climate? Climate is the synthesis of the day to day weather conditions in a given area. It is characterised by long statistics of the state of atmosphere in that area. The physical state of the atmosphere in a given place and time is weather.
What are the reasons you find for global warming? Along with the emission of uncontrolled levels of GHGs, the phenomenal increase of automobiles in the developed and developing countries, uncontrolled increase in the construction of high rise buildings, large scale deforestation, filling of water bodies, etc can cause global warming.
Weather forecast would talk about things that might happen over the next day or two. But climate would be something like a more average pattern over a longer period of time, like a season. Do you agree ? Weather prediction can be categorized into 3 types- Short , Medium and Long range. Short range prediction is for 24 to 48hrs ahead. Medium range is for 3 to 7 days period. Long or extended range prediction is for a month or more ahead. Though climate is the average condition of weather for a region, clear change of the average condition is termed as climate change.
What are the methods used to monitor climate changes in India? How effectively has it produced result? The decadal averages of various weather parameters of various regions along with the extremes, are monitored. The severity of the climate changes is being felt only in the recent years. New methods are being evolved to clearly understand this phenomenon in order to help in taking timely precaution.
Inspite of all the effort by the scientist community, where do you think you have failed to address the major issues concerning climate? Inspite of all the effort by the scientist community,in the previous years we have failed to address the the major issues concerning climate. Now a days things have almost changed . Govt. institutions, NGOs and the real stake holders come under one umbrella and face the problem with full sincerity. Sincere efforts are taken to bring the experts into the field. Kerala Agricultural University, under the able leadership of the present Vice Chancellor, has already taken the lead in this direction with the active cooperation of ISRO. We expect real benefits under his leadership in the coming days to mitigate the ill effects of this phenomenon to a great extent.
What are the methods used to bring awareness about the changes in climate among the general public? A new oriented awareness campaign along the length and breadth of Kerala is being planned. Kerala Agricultural University[KAU] will be taking a lead in this direction. The main aim of this venture is to take the society into confidence and make them fully prepared to face the climate change scenario to their benefit.
From your personal diary, you have published many works at the national and international level. Which are they? I have published popular books on “Climate of Kerala” in English and another detailed version “ Keralathinte Kalavasta” in Malayalam , a few years ago. A book on “Mazha” in Malayalam has also been published a few years before. A book on “ Rain, its facts and facets” explaining all its aspects will be published shortly. A number of research papers have been published in national and international journals of repute related to Meteorology and Oceanography.
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